FanBoardHQ

James Madison

James Madison University · 2024 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#54
Efficiency
+1.8
59th FBS
Record
9-4
Conf. record
4-4
Conf. finish
T-7th
of 14
James Madison Fanboard →

James Madison went 9-4 and was ranked 54th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 56th-ranked defense carried them, with a 76th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 52% of offensive plays with a 57th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with a 107th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-0
Q3
2-2
Q4
7-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
53rd
-2.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
128th
full season
128th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
103rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ CharlotteAmerican Athletic#104W 307+15.1100%9.3Q4
2vs Gardner-WebbBig South-OVCW 136+31.4100%-22.0Q4
4@ North CarolinaACC#84W 7050-0.8100%28.8Q3
5vs Ball StateMid-American#122W 637+23.1100%25.8Q4
6@ ULMSun Belt#99L 1921+9.80%-11.5Q4
7vs Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#96W 397+12.7100%21.5Q4
8@ Georgia SouthernSun Belt#62L 1428+1.70%-17.0Q3
9vs Southern MissSun Belt#133W 3215+30.4100%-19.3Q4
11vs Georgia StateSun Belt#120W 387+17.1100%18.6Q4
12@ Old DominionSun Belt#91W 3532+0.5100%4.9Q3
13@ Appalachian StateSun Belt#97L 2034+10.80%-23.2Q4
14vs MarshallSun Belt#37L 3335+0.30%0.5Q3
Postseason
vs Western KentuckyConference USA#80W 2717+8.5100%3.8Q4

13 played · 9-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on James Madison, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-19.0+2.8+24.79-222926-1122-17-19195-230Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 107th
SR 92ndYPP 108thEPA 109th
RushingEff 57th
SR 65thYPP 60thEPA 58th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 38th
SR 48thYPP 50thEPA 36th
Rush defenseEff 57th
SR 34thYPP 69thEPA 62nd
Dropback rate 48%Tempo -0.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 86th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 47%1st · Defense allowed: 34%1st2nd · Offense: 42%2nd · Defense allowed: 36%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 40%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 37%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 107.0Q1 · Allowed: 45.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 109.0Q2 · Allowed: 99.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 75.0Q3 · Allowed: 44.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 92.0Q4 · Allowed: 41.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledJames MadisonOffenseDefense
James Madison Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 76th
-1.6
Field position: +2.1Finishing drives: -3.7
Field position +2.1Finishing drives -3.7= -1.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 13th · Finishing 96th

Defensive EffRanked 56th
+2.1
Field position: -0.5Finishing drives: +2.6
Field position -0.5Finishing drives +2.6= +2.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 90th · Finishing 48th

2.40 points per drive on offense, 1.45 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 33.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(224)48% / 52%47%7.1
Q2(231)54% / 46%42%6.0
Q3(191)45% / 55%41%6.2
Q4(237)40% / 60%43%4.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(169)10.146%6.5
2nd(108)8.043%5.9
3rd(115)8.335%7.1
4th(18)5.617%3.1
All (410)40%6.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(215)9.948%6.2
2nd(177)7.642%5.8
3rd(69)5.151%4.3
4th(12)3.058%4.8
All (473)46%5.7

James Madison, all games.